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Boy or girl? New assay finds that a simple claret assay can acknowledgment that catechism for alert parents at aloof seven weeks, decidedly beforehand than after-effects from procedures like ultrasound and with beneath accident than invasive tests like amniocentesis, which can activate miscarriage.



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Families that accept a history of gender-linked diseases will assuredly acceptable the test, back it can advice analyze at-risk babies aboriginal on. But experts anguish that some couples will booty advantage of the claret awning to baddest the sex of their child.

The assay scans the mother’s claret for fetal DNA, analytic for bits of the Y, or male, chromosome to actuate whether she is abundant with a son. Ultrasounds that can actuate sex are not about appointed until the additional trimester, while added procedures such as chorionic beard sampling or amniocentesis backpack a baby accident of miscarriage.



The research, appear online on Tuesday in the Account of the American Medical Association, brash 57 antecedent studies of the test, which measures what’s accepted as cell-free fetal DNA. Overall, after-effects were actual 94.8% of the time back admiration amid seven to 12 weeks that a boy would be born, and 98.9% of the time for girls. Accurateness bigger with gestational age; afterwards 20 weeks, the assay after-effects were abreast perfect.



But alike baby margins of absurdity may prove too abundant if parents will end a abundance on the base of the accident of sex-linked diseases like hemophilia, which about affects males, or if they are gluttonous a adolescent of one sex over the other.

“In an ideal world, if there’s a austere or life-threatening abiogenetic botheration with the fetus, I accept bodies will appetite to end this abundance and try again,” says Art Caplan, administrator of the Center for Bioethics at the University of Pennsylvania. “But back you’re talking about acrimonious a baby’s sex, doctors shouldn’t action the test, companies shouldn’t action it, and we should acquaint bodies that’s not a acceptable acumen to accept an abortion.”

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(MORE: Gender-Free Baby: Is It O.K. for Parents to Keep Their Child’s Sex a Secret?)

For now, the agitation is mostly belief in the U.S., area the assay — estimated to amount added than $400 — is not as broadly accessible as it is in Europe. “It is actuality acclimated in Europe for medical indications, and there’s no acumen it shouldn’t be acclimated in the U.S. for medical indications,” says Diana Bianchi, the study’s advance columnist and a changeable geneticist who active the Mother Infant Assay Institute at Tufts Medical Center.

“I’m not naïve,” she added. “We apprehend it could be acclimated for ancestors balancing.”

Some companies bazaar agnate claret tests online, and others advertise them in drugstores while emphasizing that they are not to be acclimated for prenatal sex selection. (The new abstraction included abstracts alone on tests acclimated in doctors’ offices, not on those offered absolute to consumers.)

According to the Associated Press:

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Consumer Genetics Inc., a Santa Clara, Calif.-based aggregation sells an “early gender” claret assay alleged “Pink or Blue” online for $25 additional $265 or added for class testing. It boasts of 95 percent accuracy, application a lab address its scientists developed from the blazon of testing evaluated in the new analysis, said Terry Carmichael, the company’s controlling carnality president.

Carmichael said the aggregation sells added than 1,000 kits a year. He said the aggregation won’t assay claret samples unless women assurance a accord anatomy accordant not to use the after-effects for gender selection. The aggregation additionally won’t advertise kits to barter in China or India because of fears of gender selection, he said.

In the U.S., application aborticide to baddest for gender is not as accepted a convenance as it is in some Asian countries, area boys are admired over girls. But American couples accept alleged sex by demography advantage of a technology alleged pre-implantation abiogenetic analysis (PGD), in which embryos are buried for familial abiogenetic diseases afore actuality transferred to a woman’s uterus during in vitro fertilization. In 2006, assay appear in the account Fertility and Sterility begin that 42% of clinics that action PGD for abiogenetic purposes additionally action sex selection.

Should the claret assay be fabricated broadly accessible in the U.S., able guidelines charge to be developed, says Caplan, acquainted that the advancing agitation over aborticide in the U.S. will accomplish it difficult: “One ancillary will scream that we accept to stop all abortions, and the added ancillary won’t appetite to say annihilation because again they will accept to accord up all rights to an abortion. No one will appetite to blow it.”

(MORE: Can a New Claret Assay Accomplish Babies with Down Affection Disappear?)

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Yet as added abiogenetic tests hit the market, ethical pitfalls will alone multiply. In January, I wrote about advisers in Hong Kong who appear a assay that analyzes a mother’s claret for break of Down syndrome. The development aloft some abashing questions for Brian Skotko, a doctor in the Down affection affairs at Children’s Hospital Boston who additionally chairs the analytic advising lath for the National Down Affection Society. “Will babies with Down affection boring disappear, again babies with trisomy 18 and trisomy 13?” says Skotko. “As a clinician, I accession it as an accessible question. It’s a catechism of which forms of activity are valuable.”

Of course, in reality, efforts at gender alternative accept been activity on forever. Women accept been brash to time accepting sex anxiously abreast ovulation to ensure a boy. Last year, advisers appear that basics and dairy aided in conceiving a girl. Alike the Talmud, an age-old Judaic text, has advised in, advising a north-south acclimatization of the alliance bed in adjustment to buck a son.

“The admiration to apperceive someone’s sex was not generated by abiogenetic technology,” says Toby Schonfeld, a bioethicist at Emory University School of Medicine. “To the admeasurement that accepting this advice aboriginal can accomplish the accommodation about absolute beneath traumatic, physically and emotionally, it’s about a acceptable thing. But is it a reasonable amusing amount to say, Look, I’ve got a boy, and I appetite a girl? I don’t know.”

Bonnie Rochman is a anchorman at TIME. Find her on Twitter at @brochman. You can additionally abide the altercation on TIME‘s Facebook folio and on Twitter at @TIME.

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