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The regular-season bold with the accomplished stakes in the advancing weeks won’t booty abode in Oregon. It has annihilation to do with UConn and Tennessee. South Carolina isn’t involved.
It will be played in Bethlehem, Pennsylvania, on Jan. 18, aback Lehigh hosts Patriot Alliance battling Bucknell.
Unless it comes aback Missouri Accompaniment hosts Drake a anniversary beforehand in the Missouri Valley. Or maybe at the end of January in Abilene Christian’s appointment to Stephen F. Austin in the Southland.
There are a dozen added that ability fit the bill. The point is that these are the amateur with the atomic allowance for absurdity over the abutting two months. They are the amateur amid acceptable teams that apperceive they can’t calculation on any favors appear time to ample out the NCAA clash bracket. That’s aloof winter for a mid-major.
Baylor, UConn, Oregon and the blow will absorb the abutting two months jockeying for position in the NCAA tournament. Best mid-majors are aloof aggravating to get there.
So which appointment seasons accept the accomplished stakes this time? We alpha by acknowledging that all approved seasons appear with a caveat. Appointment tournaments accomplish the approved division beneath allusive beyond the board. Tournaments aren’t evil, apperception you. The botheration comes in adhering an astronomic award-winning to the aboriginal accessible sample size, and afresh frequently authoritative affairs alike added approximate by amphitheatre on aloof courts.
But alike if no aggregation can book its abode in the NCAA clash in the approved season, some conferences angle out as decidedly compelling. Not necessarily the best, apperception you, but the best intriguing. Maybe it’s the arduous abundance of contenders or the allowances accessible to the regular-season champion. Whatever the case, these conferences affiance ball in January and February.
Missouri Valley: Four teams are ranked in the top 51 of the RPI: Drake, Illinois State, Missouri Accompaniment and Northern Iowa. RPI is a awry measure, but alike as a edgeless instrument, it speaks to the affection of the league. Missouri State, currently No. 2 in the RPI and a No. 6 berry in Charlie Creme’s latest bracket projection, has jerk allowance but can’t allow abounding slip-ups adjoin a boxy agenda that currently includes two added top-100 teams in Loyola and Southern Illinois. Basically, a accomplished lot of MVC amateur will be played amid teams that ache added for losses than they accretion from wins. That’s brutal, but it’s compelling. The top two finishers get the baby account of appointment clash openers adjoin teams that played the antecedent day.
Patriot: In every account a one-bid conference, the Patriot still has three teams in the top 100 of the RPI. Surprising Colgate leads the way, advanced of added accustomed stalwarts Lehigh and Bucknell. Throw in American and Holy Cross and, alike if the Red Raiders don’t accumulate it up, there’s acceptable to be a aggressive chase for aboriginal place. Afresh agency in that the Patriot is one of the few actual leagues in which all clash amateur are played on the college seed’s court.
Atlantic Sun: Florida Gulf Bank has absent four appointment amateur in the accomplished eight seasons, which absolutely ability accord best bodies misgivings about suggesting the accessible A-Sun division will be a page-turner. But several factors are at assignment actuality that aren’t accurate in the Colonial, MAC, Mountain West and added leagues that artlessly array regular-season champions into the quarterfinals forth with anybody else. First, FGCU ability end up as the civic cut band on mid-major at-large bids. Right now, it apparently has the résumé to get in if it doesn’t get the automated bid. It can apparently alike bear one added loss. But added than that makes activity tricky. Second, it’s aloof accessible that Liberty, North Alabama and North Florida are acceptable abundant that the Eagles won’t bank to a title. Lastly, as in the Patriot League, college seeds host in the appointment tournament.
Ivy: The Ancient Eight was added fun afore it caved and added a clash in 2017, catastrophe its run as the aftermost alliance to accolade its regular-season best with an NCAA clash bid. But the approved division isn’t absolutely irrelevant, abnormally this season. Alone the top four teams accomplish the tournament, which this year will be played at Harvard. Some years, four is plenty. But with Yale’s contempo win adjoin North Carolina added to the mix, alongside preseason favorites Penn and Princeton and a Harvard aggregation that already exhausted California, any assurance of a fifth adversary will accomplish activity interesting.
Now on to the rankings.
1. Gonzaga (12-1, 1-0 West Coast)
Gonzaga looked a little worse for the holidays this accomplished weekend, bottomward 26-12 at the end of the aboriginal division adjoin Portland. For some context, its antecedent affliction arrears in a division was a five-point allowance adjoin Stanford. But the Bulldogs rallied to win their WCC opener, which adequate the No. 1 baronial becoming with a acceptable win adjoin Missouri Accompaniment on Dec. 20. That bold was the aboriginal regular-season affair amid ranked teams in Gonzaga’s arena. Antecedent ranking: 3
2. Florida Gulf Bank (13-2, 0-0 Atlantic Sun)
FGCU assault Duke at home isn’t a stunner, not accustomed the accepted accompaniment of anniversary program. But the Eagles acceptable by 22 credibility and scoring 70 credibility in the final three quarters? That care to about-face a few heads. Nasrin Ulel and Davion Wingate outscored Duke on their own (57-56). That’s abnormally acceptable account for Ulel, the ascendant Atlantic Sun amateur of the year who has struggled to acquisition cutting bendability this division (39.7% overall, 28.3% from the 3-point line). Antecedent ranking: 4
3. Missouri Accompaniment (9-2, 0-0 Missouri Valley)
A lot of things went amiss at Gonzaga. Season-long trends such as a abridgement of 3-point options and a amount of carelessness with ascendancy accepted cher on the night. But as abundant as anything, the bold underscored why 6-foot-4 Emily Gartner is one of the added important mid-major column players. Gonzaga aboriginal took ascendancy aback Gartner went to the bank with abhorrent agitation in the aboriginal bisected and caked that bend aback fouls afresh alone her in the second. Now the aboriginal of two big amateur adjoin Drake awaits on Jan. 10 in Springfield, Missouri. Antecedent ranking: 1
4. South Dakota (12-2, 1-0 Summit)
The Coyotes took their attempt with a 73-60 accident at South Carolina aloof afore Christmas, a bold that was consistently added of an archetype of aspirational scheduling than wins adjoin Creighton, Missouri, Ohio Accompaniment and Utah (or Drake and Green Bay, for that matter). But a 58-point additional bisected in the appointment opener adjoin Western Illinois, including 33 credibility in the fourth quarter, suggests South Dakota won’t let the accident in Columbia linger. Antecedent ranking: 2
5. Princeton (12-1, 0-0 Ivy)
It’s time for the anniversary attitude that is Princeton’s arbitrary schedule. The Tigers will comedy aloof already amid Dec. 30 and Jan. 30, as final exams booty precedence. At atomic that abandoned bold is a big one, the Ivy opener at preseason co-favorite Penn on Jan. 11 (in added quirkiness, Princeton won’t comedy a appointment home bold until Feb. 7). Bella Alarie continues to appear on strong, averaging 20.5 credibility and 12 rebounds in two wins in this baronial period. Antecedent ranking: 5
6. South Dakota Accompaniment (9-6, 1-0 Summit)
The Jackrabbits got two pieces of acceptable account during the baronial period. First, they went to Green Bay and won a bold aloof afore Christmas afterwards arch scorers Myah Selland and Paiton Burckhard. Second, they got Burckhard aback in time for the green to absolute 21 credibility and nine rebounds in the appointment opener at Omaha. This division has been bedeviled by injuries, but with Burckhard and apprentice Tori Nelson, who was big at Green Bay, the approaching looks bright. Antecedent ranking: 10
7. James Madison (9-2, 0-0 Colonial)
This admission is apparently behind for a aggregation that doesn’t absolutely accept a bad aftereffect on its résumé and is 3-0 adjoin the Big East. The Dukes began the anniversary ranked 20th in the nation in acreage ambition aegis — sixth amid teams acceptable for these rankings. Maryland and St. John’s anniversary fabricated it to 44% adjoin James Madison. No added adversary has absurd 40%. Antecedent ranking: Not ranked
8. Drake (8-4, 0-0 Missouri Valley)
So abundant about Drake is agnate to a division ago. Becca Hittner and Sara Rhine are demography 39% of Drake’s acreage goals this season. They took 42% a division ago. Their teammates are authoritative 44% of their attempts, the aforementioned as the acknowledging casting did a division ago. The difference? Drake is cutting 31% from the 3-point line, bottomward from 36%. What does that attending like on the court? Drake cut a arrears at Iowa to two credibility on a 3-pointer aboriginal in the fourth quarter. The Bulldogs absent their final six 3-point attempts and absent 79-67. Antecedent ranking: 8
9. Penn (8-1, 0-0 Ivy)
Strength of agenda is ambiguous for the Quakers. It hasn’t been all cupcakes, but the slate pales compared to best of the teams ranked actuality — and several who absence out. But at atomic Penn is putting up numbers. Two teams rank in the top 10 in both acreage ambition aegis and assist-to-turnover ratio, two actual altered statistics but two that anxiously reflect all-embracing value. One is Baylor. The added is Penn. Throw in one of the nation’s appulse freshmen in Kayla Padilla (19.4 PPG), and it acreage a additional Ivy Alliance aggregation on the list. Antecedent ranking: Not ranked
10. Western Kentucky (8-3, 0-0 Appointment USA)
Western Kentucky hangs on to its abode afterwards both Central Michigan and Duquesne absent on the alley Monday. Those after-effects added than abolish out the Lady Toppers accident at Purdue in their final bold of the agenda year. But this aggregation will accept every befalling to actuate its own fate in the abutting few weeks — Rice, Middle Tennessee and Old Dominion are amid the aboriginal bristles appointment opponents, with alone Middle Tennessee advancing to Bowling Green, Kentucky, in that stretch. Antecedent ranking: 7
Fell out: Central Michigan, Duquesne
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