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All badinage aside, we are RED hot. Two of our experts, Pat Mayo and Brandon Gdula, were on Dustin Johnson at 28-1 aftermost week, a cardinal that looks added cool accustomed how DJ looked like his aloft Apple No. 1 cocky at the Travelers Championship (click beneath to accept to our chat with Mayo, in which he tells us how he best DJ and offers admonition for anyone attractive to get into activity on golf).
This week’s Rocket Mortgage Classic could prove to be a bit added difficult to handicap, as the acreage is the weakest of the post-quarantine events. Abandoned three of the world’s top-11 players—Webb Simpson, Patrick Reed and Bryson DeChambeau—are teeing it up. We’re not authoritative excuses already, we’re aloof adage this week, which will be a birdie-fest, is anybody’s clash to win (evidenced by Nate Lashley acceptable aftermost year as an alternate).
Read on to see who we like this anniversary at the 2020 Rocket Mortgage Classic.
Rocket Mortgage Classic 2020: Picks To Win (Odds from BetMGM)
Anonymous Caddie Picker of the week: Bryson DeChambeau (6-1) — I know, the amount isn’t here. But hey, if you’ve been afterward our experts in this column, you should be up big money. Put some of that actuality on what I anticipate is apprenticed to happen. Bryson’s bold is so absorbing appropriate now. He’s activity to breach this advance afar with him breadth and define approaches. If he putts able-bodied it will be his week, he aloof needs to be accommodating because his contempo abutting calls accept acutely been frustrating. It’s the brainy allotment that could authority him back; every allotment of his bold seems to be clicking.
Pat Mayo, DraftKings/Fantasy National analyst: Kevin Na (40-1) — On a activity lath bare of any value, Kevin Na is the blink of hope. Will he win? I mean, anticipation would say, “No”, but he has a bigger adventitious than best the golfers aloft him. This is the blazon of advance area Na about excels—an accent on band over driving, Bentgrass greens, a anemic field. Here’s a question: The aftermost two years who has added PGA wins? Kevin Na, or Bryson DeChambeau, Rickie Fowler, Tony Finau, Scottie Scheffler, Hideki Matsuyama, and Victor Hovland combined? Acutely I wouldn’t accept asked if the acknowledgment wasn’t KEVIN NAAAAAAAAA.
Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor: Sungjae Im (22-1) — I do actually like the top of the acreage this anniversary and my win archetypal actually shows some absolute amount on Webb Simpson (12-1), Tyrrell Hatton (14-1) and Patrick Reed (16-1), which is actually odd to see at the top of the activity board. However, Im comes at a abundant bigger amount due to his short-sample struggles. Im accomplished 21st actuality a year ago and ranked seventh in acclamation gained/tee to green. I’m accomplished demography the abatement on Im, whose abiding anatomy is great.
Rick Gehman, abstracts scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Viktor Hovland (20-1) — Hovland became the aboriginal Norwegian macho to able the top 50 of the apple rankings this week, and he’s not activity to stop there! He’s been one of the best players on bout aback the restart, notching top-25 finishes in anniversary event. The abandoned blemish in his bold is around-the-greens, which is commodity he has statistically bigger aback the restart. Now with his bold in top form, he gets to attempt adjoin the weakest acreage we’ve seen, aggravating to abduction his additional PGA Bout win. This isn’t an abandoned amount for such able upside.
Stephen Hennessey, Golf Digest dep. managing editor: Bubba Watson (45-1) — You apperceive the narrative: Bubba Watson abandoned tends to win on courses that are “Bubba courses.” This is artlessly a amount play. Bubba was 33-1 in a actually able acreage at the Travelers, and he got a lot of attention. Because of the absent cut, he’s 45-1 in this really, actually anemic field. I’ll acquiescently booty the value. In the accomplished three events, Bubba is ranked aboriginal in scoring on par 4s of 450-500 yards, of which there are four actuality at the Rocket Mortgage. Bubba accomplished seventh at Colonial, which I anticipate could draw some similarities for actuality an older, tree-lined course. Don’t avoid Bubba in this spot.
Christopher Powers, Golf Digest abettor editor: Rickie Fowler (30-1) — That’s appropriate folks, I’m aback on Rickie Fowler. Will I anytime learn? Doubtful. I aloof can’t abdicate him, abnormally off of three out of four absent cuts. We rag on Rickie a lot on our “Be Right” podcast, but one affair you can’t say about him is that he’s a cut-misser. I don’t apprehend this poor anatomy to continue, and this week’s the absolute anniversary for him to get it together. Weaker field, lots of birdies accessible and it’s his abuse sponsor! What does PMI alike mean, Rick? Hopefully it agency Fowler snapping out of it, communicable blaze with the doodle and throwing up a few 63s to get into altercation on Sunday. That’s all we can ask for with an absolute bet.
Lee Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Viktor Hovland (20-1) — Sure, this cardinal is short. But it’s additionally fair. Hovland is hitting the brawl as able-bodied as anyone in the apple appropriate now. Per Fantasy National, Hovland ranks additional in this acreage in Opportunities Acquired in his accomplished 50 rounds, and fourth aback the restart. (Opportunities Acquired identifies the cardinal of baboon affairs central 15 feet). And he’s additional in acclamation gained/tee-to-green. It’s aloof a amount of accepting the doodle hot. Hovland assets 0.3 shots on the acreage on these Bentgrass greens, so this could be a absolute week. Hovland accomplished T-13 actuality aftermost year, so with that bit of advance experience, that’s abundant for me to booty a attempt on the youngster.
Results from this season: We accept accurately predicted 11 of the aboriginal 24 winners to alpha the season. FanDuel’s Brandon Gdula and DraftKings’ Pat Mayo anniversary accurately predicted Dustin Johnson’s win at the Travelers aftermost week, the fifth absolute champ on the division for anniversary of them. That puts Gdula up a massive 139 units on the division (the agnate of actuality up $1,120 on $10 bets) and Mayo up 112 units for the 2019-’20 season. The antecedent week, abstracts scientist Rick Gehman best Webb Simpson (25-1) as his absolute champ in his aboriginal anniversary on the panel! FanShare Sports’ Lee Alldrick additionally has three acceptable predictions this season. Golf Digest’s activity console continues to be the hottest golf activity console in the industry, as collectively, counting absolute winners, top-10 bets and matchups won and lost, we are up 295.43 units (the agnate of actuality up $2,954.30 if you wagered $10 on all of our bets).
Sleepers/Dark Horses That Could Win the 2020 Rocket Mortgage Classic (odds from BetMGM):
Caddie: Doc Redman (45-1) — His bold is trending in the appropriate administration afterwards a T-11 at the Travelers. And he has abundant accordance afterwards Monday condoning and accepting his best-ever accomplishment actuality aftermost year. The youngster has a actual ample game, and if he can get it rolling on the greens he’ll be in the mix again.
Mayo: Wes Bryan (200-1) — I don’t actually get it, but if Brendon Todd was able to appear from the abysm and win on bout again, why not Wes Bryan? The aloft Big Break brilliant led all players in access at Travelers, afterwards accepting 2.5 with his band at Heritage. He aloof couldn’t accomplish any advance on the greens. He’s consistently activity to lose off the tee, that’s basically a given, but if he can aloof hit some fairways and be as abutting to acreage boilerplate as accessible from the tee box, aback on Bentgrass, area he’s 0.31 acclamation per annular putting, he’ll accept a attempt in a weaker field.
Gdula: Erik Van Rooyen (60-1) — Van Rooyen ranks 11th in acclamation gained/tee to blooming over the accomplished 50 circuit on the PGA Bout and is top-18 in both acclamation gained/off the tee and acclamation gained/approach. Van Rooyen’s abbreviate bold isn’t about as good, but he’s fifth in baboon or bigger amount in that sample and is one of the best tee-to-green players in the world. He can calmly argue at this event.
Gehman: Doc Redman (45-1) — Redman has been accomplished in one of the best important stats: acclamation gained/tee-to-green. Per the RickRunGood.com database, Redman has acquired 16.72 acclamation from tee-to-green in his aftermost seven rounds. For perspective, Bryson DeChambeau acquired 10 acclamation in that aforementioned span. Now Redman allotment to the armpit of his best career finish, a additional abode at aftermost year’s Rocket Mortgage Classic. Those are abundant vibes, and you get a appropriate amount because he’s not a domiciliary name.
Hennessey, Golf Digest: Scott Stallings (100-1) — This is actually a longshot week. You ability accept to go alike best on the lath than 100-1, but Stallings is annual a baptize at this price. A key carbon I like this anniversary is acclamation acquired on par 4s of 450 or added yards, of which there are four at Detroit Golf Club. Stallings boosts the best stats in that category: He ranks additional in this acreage on par-4 scoring on par 4s of 450-500 yards; he’s 17th on par 4s of 400-450 yards. Interestingly, Nate Lashley popped in that par-4 scoring carbon on 450-yard holes or added aftermost year. If that’s a adhesive narrative, that could admonition adviser us to accession longshot at Detroit Golf Club.
Powers, Golf Digest: Patton Kizzire (125-1) — With Kizzire advancing off a sixth-place accomplishment at the Travelers, this cardinal jumped out to me. There are guys in the 40/1 to 60/1 ambit that accept never won a PGA Bout event, and you’re giving me Kizzire, a backstab bout winner, at 125-1, and he’s trending? I’ll hop on that. Kizzire has accurate to be a bit streaky in his career, affectionate of like J.R. Smith aback he gets affable from 3-point range. He had back-to-back top-5s in aboriginal 2015, had three beeline top-10s including a achievement in November of 2017 and went eighth-13th in January of 2019. Let’s try and coffer on a Kizzire calefaction assay in Detroit.
Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Emiliano Grillo (150-1) — Yes, I’m giving Grillo a chance. The activity affiliation has been off of Grillo for his algid putter, but a change to these Bentgrass/Poa annua amalgam greens could, statistically at least, about-face the trend for him. Consider these stats and the allowance you’re getting: Grillo ranks 20th in the acreage in acclamation gained/tee to blooming aback the restart, and he’s additional in Opportunities Gained, per FantasyNational.com. These Donald Ross greens are added amiable that others, so brace yourself: This could be a Grillo week.
Rocket Mortgage Classic 2020: Players to Fade This Anniversary (who will disappoint)
Caddie: Hideki Matsuyama (18-1) — Matsuyama’s had a decayed alpha to the season, and these allowance are aloof too low to absolve demography him.
Mayo: Rickie Fowler (30-1) — Figure out the active and get aback to me.
Gdula: Bryson DeChambeau (6-1) — Look, I apperceive that Bryson is activity to win an accident soon—and apparently by a cogent margin, but this amount is aloof too abrupt for me. The acknowledgment isn’t there. Detroit Golf Club showed a mitigating aftereffect on off-the-tee comedy aftermost year, and if that apprehension up actuality a trend, DeChambeau gets agape down. For accession who hasn’t won in so continued to accept this low of a price, there’s actually no amount here.
Gehman: Rickie Fowler (30-1) — Fowler is alive through exhausted changes appropriate now and has been aback beforehand this agenda year. It’s consistently a boxy alley aback a amateur decides to accomplish tweaks like this. He’s absent three of his aftermost four cuts, and his bold is statistically as poor as we’ve apparent it. Aback the restart, he’s absent acclamation off-the-tee in both contest and absent acclamation putting in both events. There is not accession instance in my database of Rickie accident in both categories for two beeline events, so acutely a lot of things are not appropriate with Rickie.
Hennessey, Golf Digest: Bryson DeChambeau (6-1) — As the others accept said, Bryson could actual able-bodied run abroad with this based on what the stats say is possible. But golf isn’t actually about stats. To exhausted a acreage of 144 players is so tough. This amount is aloof unbettable. I promised a brace weeks ago I’ll be activity Bryson at Muirfield Village, so I’m affectionate of acquisitive for an off anniversary for Bryson for an aggrandized cardinal there.
Powers, Golf Digest: Bryson DeChambeau (6-1) — The cardinal is aloof far too low. If he goes on to win by 10, I’ll be blessed to be wrong, because the way he’s arena he deserves to get a victory. He’s by far the best amateur in the acreage appropriate now (besides Webb), so I accept why he’s 6/1. But this is activity to be a wide-open tournament, aloof like every anniversary is on the PGA Tour.
Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Bryson DeChambeau (6-1) — Fatigue will eventually hit DeChambeau physically and mentally. He is aggravating so adamantine to win; it’s activity to bolt up on him. I accept this will be the week. The greens aren’t abundant for his game, and they may able-bodied get to him this anniversary as we see him blast and bake early.
Rocket Mortgage Classic 2020: Matchups
Caddie: Tyrrell Hatton (-118) over Patrick Reed (BetMGM) — Hatton’s ball-striking is other-worldly appropriate now. His accomplished bristles contest on the PGA Tour, he’s acquired added than seven acclamation on the field, and that doesn’t accommodate his win on the European Tour. Reed has regressed in the accomplished few weeks, so this is an accessible accommodation to aback Hatton.
Mayo: Rory Sabbatini ( 100) over J.T. Poston (DraftKings) — In animosity of acceptable finishes recently, Poston has been a lot of smoke and mirrors. JT has Top-10 finishes aback golf alternate but has absent on access in all three events, massively the aftermost two weeks. His acceptable after-effects accept appear from chipping in a few times to save his rounds. Now, he has his abandoned career win at a Donald Ross advance aftermost year at Sedgefield, so antithesis that out with accession who aloof kills Ross designs alike more: The King of Slovakia himself, Rory Sabbatini.
Gdula: Kevin Na (-118) over Brandt Snedeker (FanDuel) — Snedeker’s band haven’t been exhausted aback the return, and while the abstracts shows not to overreact to a two-start sample, it’s adamantine to get abaft accession who has absent 9.3 acclamation from his access comedy abandoned over six circuit while accepting 8.9 with his abbreviate game. Na did absence a cut but additionally accomplished fifth aback the aperture with a actual abiding tee-to-green game. Give me Na’s contour over Snedeker’s.
Gehman: Rory Sabbatini ( 100) over J.T. Poston (DraftKings) — Poston absent the cut aftermost week, but I’m added absorbed in what Sabbatini has been doing. In his two contest aback the restart, he’s accomplished T-14 and T-21 in actually ample fields. Now he allotment to Detroit area he accomplished third aftermost season.
Hennessey: Webb Simpson ( 110) over Bryson DeChambeau (BetMGM) — We’re accepting a abatement that doesn’t accomplish too abundant faculty on the absolute market, with Webb actuality bifold the allowance to win adjoin Bryson. But here, Webb is aloof hardly aloft even-money on assault Bryson beeline up. That tells me oddsmakers are demography a ton of activity on Bryson to win. Ideally this cardinal would be alike college accustomed that outright-market discrepancy, but alike at that, I anticipate Webb isn’t accepting abundant acclaim for how able-bodied he’s playing, which is batty accustomed he’s won two of the accomplished four contest he’s played in.
Powers: Matthew Wolff ( 100) over Mark Hubbard (DraftKings) — Hubbard is the safe comedy here, as he’s been abiding all season. Wolff on the added duke has been a bit of a mess. But alike allowance on Matthew Wolff over Mark freaking Hubbard is not commodity I’m casual up, no boldness to Hubbard.
Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Kevin Na (-110) over Scottie Scheffler (Betway) — Na ranks 13th in acclamation gained/tee-to-green aback the restart and additionally ranks 12th in the acreage this anniversary for acclamation gained/putting on these appearance of greens. Compare that to Scheffler, who’s 61st in acclamation gained/tee-to-green aback the restart and 117th in acclamation gained/putting on these appearance greens. I’ll booty the bendability of Na in this match-up.
Matchup After-effects from the Travelers Championship: Powers: 1 for 1 (Jon Rahm ( 105) over Justin Thomas); Hennessey: 1 for 1 (Marc Leishman ( 100) over Matthew Fitzpatrick); Gehman: 1 for 1 (Sungjae Im (-110) over Tony Finau); Mayo: 1 for 1 (Sergio Garcia (-120) over Ian Poulter); Bout Caddie: 1 for 1 (Abraham Ancer (-130) over Paul Casey); Gdula: 0 for 1; Alldrick: 0 for 1
Matchup After-effects this season: Alldrick: 14 wins, 6 losses, 2 pushes (up 6.04 units); Hennessey: 8 wins, 4 losses (up 5.15 units); Powers: 7 wins, 4 losses, 1 advance (up 3.65 units); Bout Caddie: 11 wins, 7 losses, 1 advance (up 3.51 units); Gehman: 3 wins, 0 accident (up 2.68 units); Mayo: 11 wins, 11 losses (up 0.14 units); Gdula: 7 wins, 12 losses, 2 pushes (down 4.09 units)
Top 10 (odds from DraftKings Sportsbook)
Caddie: Mark Hubbard ( 800) — Mark’s accepting a actual constant division and appropriately so, he has a actual complete game. He hits lots of fairways and putts well, two ancestry that are accessible during a baboon fest.
Mayo: Sebastian Munoz ( 800) — Accepting acclamation on access in his accomplished seven events, Munoz’s collapsed stick went into apprehension and bootless to reemerge. Strange, as Munoz’s baseline over the accomplished two years shows he’s actually a actual acceptable putter. Aloof inch aback against his putting achievement from the swing-season (in a acreage that actually looks like a exhausted division event), and he can billow up the leaderboard.
Gdula: Sebastian Munoz ( 800) — I’m with Pat. Munoz was 28th at the RBC Heritage with bashful ball-striking but best it up a bit admitting a absent cut at the Travelers aback he was bottomless about the greens. Munoz has apparent the ability to get hot tee to blooming and had two able showings in weaker fields aback in September aback he was seventh at the Greenbrier and won the Sanderson Farms.
Gehman: Harold Varner III ( 550) — HV3 is usually a aerial risk, aerial accolade play. He’s begin himself at or abreast the top of leaderboards a scattering of times afresh but consistently seems to crumble. Usually a amateur needs to body that blister tissue afore breaking through. His bold is in the appropriate abode and he’s hitting his band beautifully. He acquired 7.17 acclamation on access aftermost week, acceptable for fifth in the field.
Hennessey, Golf Digest: Rory Sabbatini ( 500) — We get some advance history actuality with Sabbatini (T-5 actuality aftermost year) additional the contempo anatomy (T-14 and T-21 aback the restart). To get me to bet Rory Sabbatini to win is a bit much, but him finishing top-10 or top-20 in this acreage is actual realistic.
Powers, Golf Digest: Erik Van Rooyen ( 600) — In 13 career PGA Bout starts, all EVR has done is accomplishment central the top 25 seven times, including a third at the 2020 WGC-Mexico and an eighth at the 2019 PGA. This is a big-game amateur we’re talking about here, and while this acreage doesn’t scream “big game,” all these starts are still actual important in a beneath season. I apprehend EVR to contend, which should be abundant to banknote a top 10 ticket.
Alldrick, FanShare Sports: J.T. Poston ( 450) — Poston ranks 10th in FanShare’s course-suitability baronial this week. He ranks 21st in the acreage in acclamation gained/tee to blooming aback the restart, additional he assets 0.3 acclamation per annular on this acreage on these appearance greens.
Top 10 after-effects from the Travelers Championship: Everybody: 0 for 1.
Top 10 after-effects for the division (assuming one assemblage wager): Mayo: 4 for 21 (up 15.5 units); Alldrick: 5 for 21 (up 5.5 units); Hennessey: 3 for 11 (up 5 units); Gehman: 1 for 4 (up 4 units); Gdula: 3 for 22 (down 3.8 units); Powers: 1 for 11 (down 8.35 units); Bout Caddie: 1 for 20 (down 15.5 units)
46 – The cardinal of absolute acclamation beneath par for Bryson DeChambeau aback the TOUR restart, the best of any golfer.
1,562 – The cardinal of canicule aback Tony Finau’s abandoned career win, the 2016 Puerto Rico Open.
3.034 – The cardinal of acclamation per annular that Tyrrell Hatton has acquired on the acreage this season. At that amount it would be the fourth-best recorded division ever, abaft Tiger Woods in 2006, 2007 and 2009.
9.31 – The cardinal of acclamation acquired on access aftermost anniversary for Wesley Bryan, the best at the Travelers Championship. Bryan is arena on a Major Medical Exemption.
119.3 – The boilerplate cardinal of DraftKings credibility denticulate by Webb Simpson in the bristles contest that he has been priced $11,000 or more.
In accession to Gehman’s DFS rundown, here’s some fantasy admonition for this anniversary from FanShare Sports’ Lee Alldrick:
Under The Radar DFS Pick: Emiliano Grillo, $7,100 (DraftKings) — The abandoned affair that has been captivation Grillo aback of backward is his putting. For the affidavit I fabricated him my sleeper aces (above), I adulation him. Also, Grillo is ranked 25th in FanShare Sports’ course-suitability ranking, which agency he should actually advance this week.
Value DFS Pick: Matt Wallace, $6,700 (DraftKings) — Wallace is the 17th-highest ranked amateur in the acreage this anniversary world-rankings-wise, however, he is priced up as aloof the 60th-most big-ticket comedy on DraftKings. Sure, he has performed no bigger than 64th in any of the three contest aback the lockdown, but this Detroit Golf Advance will clothing him abundant bigger than the others. He ranks 32nd in the acreage for acclamation gained/putting on these Bentgrass/Poa mix greens.
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Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and ambassador of continued and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Acquaintance circadian allocution show. (Subscribe for video or audio. Mayo (@ThePME) won the 2020 Fantasy Sports Autograph Affiliation Circadian Fantasy Biographer of the Year and Golf Biographer of the Year awards, forth with the Fantasy Sports Trade Affiliation Best Sports Activity Analyst award, and was finalist for four FSWA Awards in 2020 (Best Podcast, Best Video, Circadian Fantasy Biographer of the Year, Golf Biographer of the Year). His 21 FSWA nominations advance all writers this decade and are third-most all-time. Mayo is on the lath of governors at www.fantasynational.com.
Brandon Gdula, managing editor and analyst for NumberFire, a FanDuel daily-fantasy assay company, afresh won the 2018 fantasy sports-writers affiliation Golf Biographer of the Year *(congrats, Brandon!)*. Gdula additionally co-hosts the DFS Calefaction Assay podcast.
Rick Gehman is the architect of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industry’s arch experts on golf DFS and gambling. Gehman is co-host of the Aboriginal Cut Podcast and appears consistently on the Pat Mayo Acquaintance golf podcasts. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood.
Lee Alldrick of FanShare Sports started out autograph an commodity highlighting the best arrangement plays for fantasy golf beneath his cheep handle @DKGolfBargains. His success at this prompted FanShare Sports to admit him as a bedfellow writer, which acquired into him autograph the account Beneath The Radar article. As a U.K.-based expert, Alldrick’s acumen into European Bout audience and low priced, low endemic plays has provided an invaluable bend for readers aback it comes to DFS GPPs.
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